A Gift That Keeps Giving - Ontario Edition

We are being told that (repeated) Covid-19 jabs protect the recipients from severe outcomes. Apparently they do not consider death a severe outcome. Here's the proof.

As the old adage goes, Covid-19 vaccines do not protect you from getting infected nor from spreading the virus, but they protect you from severe outcomes. Here’s a week-old reincarnation of it (USA Today, 2022.04.17) “COVID vaccines are not meant to prevent all infections, experts say. Americans need to reset their expectations“: “The vaccines may not prevent all infection, but they still protect against the worst consequences of the disease.“

How well? Glad you’ve asked! Here’s what Mark Steyn had to say about the recent UK experience with booster shots:

In particular, in the first weeks of 2022, the outcomes for the boosted, compared with the unvaccinated, have been steadily getting worse:

Back to Ontario. On Feb. 2, 2022, Globe and Mail sternly warned the underjabbed in “Uptake of COVID-19 vaccine boosters slows in Canada despite Omicron’s risks, Globe analysis finds“: “All unvaccinated persons should get vaccinated as soon as possible. …Emerging Canadian data also underscore the importance of boosters. From mid-December to mid-January, unvaccinated Ontarians aged 60 and older were 22.4 times more likely to be hospitalized than those who had received three doses, and 11.8 times more likely than those who had received two.“

Sheesh, unvaccinated 12-22 time more likely to be hospitalized! What about the deaths?! Well, pretty bad, but somewhat better, according to the official Ontario stats:

We can see from the above graph that the “not fully vaccinated” are dying at rates about 2-3 times higher than those “fully vaccinated” or “vaccinated with booster dose”. Of course, the nebulous category of “not fully vaccinated“ includes some “partially vaccinated” that should be better protected than the irrational unvaccinated, right? Right?! So, maybe the unvaccinated are dying at rates 4-5 times higher? But not 12-22 higher? It looks like most unvaccinated manage to flee the health system on a way from the ICU to the morgue? Or how would you explain it?

Funny enough, the story does not end there. The trick of mining data by comparing the official cumulative health authority reports from different times and calculating the incremental stats had yielded interesting results in the case of the UK Heath Service reports. What can we find out about Ontario by repeating this simple trick? Surprisingly, a lot.

For the record, Ontario’s population is estimated to be about 14,200,000 at this time. From https://covid-19.ontario.ca/data, as of Apr. 11, 2022, we can derive these stats:

Public Health Ontario has gifted us with these two most recent reports to compare:

• Confirmed Cases of COVID-19 Following Vaccination in Ontario: December 14, 2020 to February 27, 2022

• Confirmed Cases of COVID-19 Following Vaccination in Ontario: December 14, 2020 to April 10, 2022

They provide the tables for the cumulative hospitalizations:

and deaths:

From these inputs, we can easily derive, in the period of Feb. 28 - Apr. 10, 2022, the hospitalizations:

and deaths:

Mind you, “unvaccinated”, in their parlance, are not really unvaccinated as they do include the freshly (0-14 days) jabbed that are most likely to succumb to ill effects of the jabs and the pestilence, 2-in-1 kinda deal, due to their immune systems being floored at this fragile period in their otherwise promising lives. And still!

The resurrections of some citizens going into Easter, according to the Public Health Ontario data, should not be too surprising; their numbers being not so high as to totally invalidate the following conclusions.

We see that the unvaccinated get hospitalized about 3 times more often than the average Ontarian (although a far cry from 12-22 times), to the advantage of the fully vaccinated and the boosted.

So far so good. But what about the deaths? Somehow, the unvaccinated wiggle out of the hospitals at the rate of 64% of the expected value, by their population share. The partially vaccinated, on the contrary, make the best use of Easter and raise from the dead, albeit only 5 of them.

The fully vaccinated (post-series completion) are about where they are supposed to be, raking in about 85% of their expected fatalities.

The 66% of all deaths are credited to the boosted (1x- and 2x-), which constitute 51% of the population, therefore 129% the expected value, by their population share.

Therefore, the clear winner is the proverbial unvaccinated pig, and the clear looser is the play-it-safe, responsible boosted citizen, as far as deaths are concerned.

So, somehow, the message, drilled into the heads of the jabbers day in and day out, about the unvaccinated dying at the rates 10-20 times of those of vaccinated/boosted turns out to be total bull, according to the official Public Health Ontario reports.

Let’s take it that the boosted sacrificed themselves for the safety of the unvaccinated. Without their sacrifice, the unvaccinated would have been dying at 10 times the rate (“New CMAJ "Study" "Proves" Unvaccinated Are As Good As Rabid Dogs“).

Now, if someone could explain to me what happened to the Public Health Ontario data on the way from cumulative tables to the beautiful color-coded interactive graphs? Until then, I will continue to be hesitant about boosting my way through life.

---

P.S. From a comment by epimetheus in the comments section below: these latest Ontario data are corroborated by the stats from the Norwegian Institute of Public Health for 18-24 April 2022. Check out his great post, “Covid in Norway: Data for Week 16 shows Differential b/w Un/Vaxxed Admissions to be 1:10--the 'Pandemic' is All But Over for 'the Unvaxxed'“ The unvaccinated, representing 27% of the total population, contribute only about 10% of Covid-19 cases and deaths.

When we get the next Ontario report (if they don’t shoot it down, lest it promotes the vaccine hesitancy), we' will be able to compare the Norwegian data with the contemporaneous Ontario data. I bet the stats for the Ontario unvaccinated will improve even more by then. No wonder the powers that be want so badly to wipe the unvaccinated off the face of the earth: they are a thorn in their backside, disproving their myths in the most unceremonious way, on every turn, on TPTB’s quest for the periodic and unopposed jabbing, ad infinitum. All in the name of public health, and feeling safe, in solidarity.

P.P.S. 2022.05.03 A further corroboration from the Daily Expose, “Government of Canada reveals Fully Vaccinated account for 4 in every 5 Covid-19 Deaths over the past month; the majority Triple Jabbed“ back from Mar. 31, 2022: