Farr’s Law vs Modern Vaccinology
The series of unfortunate events in slow mo, or rolling out as planned?
Let’s start from the basics, i.e., Farr’s Law of epidemic (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Farr%27s_laws): “In 1840, Farr submitted a letter to the Annual Report of the Registrar General of Births, Deaths and Marriages in England. In that letter, he applied mathematics to the records of deaths during a recent smallpox epidemic. He showed that during the smallpox epidemic, a plot of the number of deaths per quarter followed a roughly bell-shaped or "normal curve", and that recent epidemics of other diseases had followed a similar pattern..”
Of course, the world was less connected back then, e.g., it took weeks to get from London to New York by boat, as opposed to mere hours nowadays by plane, and the number of travelers was dramatically smaller. Even earlier, it took about 15 years for the bubonic plague (https://www.thoughtco.com/black-death-in-asia-bubonic-plague-195144) to get from East Asia to Europe.
Another brilliant observation of Farr had been that “The death rate is a fact; anything beyond this is an inference”. We’ll use this insight in the analysis below, considering the “reliability” of the overclocked PCR tests, lack of tests, too many tests, and what not, depending on so many factors in so many different locales.
But let’s finally proceed to Covid-19. Farr’s law, being a law of probability applied to big numbers of events, should still hold, regardless of the bug. And we do get glimpses of that with Covid-19 before the “magic” “vaccines” arrived at the scene, e.g. https://blog.trillianthealth.com/farrs-law-its-happening, https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32941485/, https://launchliberty.com/must-read-farrs-law-governs-the-course-of-epidemics/.
But that was so 2020. Massive “vaccination” campaigns were brought to bear in early 2021, starting with Israel and then UK, to “flatten the curve” and teach Mother Nature a lesson or two in pandemic management. So what did we get for our efforts? Interestingly enough, more disease and death. Let’s compare three very different countries in terms of health care budgets and “vaccination” campaign onsets that all had a pronounced spike of Covid-19 around Jan.15-31. Welcome to the stage Israel, UK and Portugal, shall we?
All three reached their sharp peaks in Covid-19 mortality around the end of Jan. 2021:
- Portugal at about 29 deaths/100,000 a day;
- UK at 18/100,000 and
- Israel at 7/100,000 a day.
What was remarkably different was the concomitant “vaccination” drive in each country around the same time:
- Israel was able to mount a robust “vaccination” campaign with Pfizer at around Dec. 20, 2021, the whole month before the Covid-19 wave peaked. It seems to have helped Israel to dampen the peak of deaths, although the peak itself was wider than UK’s or Portugal’s;
- UK proceeded with mass “vaccination” with AstraZeneca around Jan. 11, 2021 (three weeks after Israel). It managed to catch only the peak and the down-side of the epidemic wave with its “vaccine”, also widening it a bit compared to Portugal, but not as much as Israel.
- Portugal proceeded timidly with AstraZeneca, suspended it after Mar. 15 and went flat-out with mRNA “vaccines” from Mar. 16, by which time their pandemic spike was no more. Their “vaccination” came mostly after the epidemic peak “resolved” itself through natural means of herd immunity (not to be mentioned aloud lest it promotes “vaccine” hesitancy). Portugal had the highest mortality peak of the three countries, but also the slimmest, and the down-side was the steepest of them.
Not to jump to quick conclusions that the “vaccination” was worth all the hard labour put into it, here’s the excess mortality for said countries from Jan. 2020 till present:
When you look at the excess mortality starting from Jan. 2021, UK is actually the biggest looser, Portugal is quite a bit better off, thanks to the protection of the acquired natural immunity to Covid-19 and fewer adverse events as a result. The doubtful winner of this contest is Israel, but somehow the dynamics of the excess mortality in 2021 points toward it catching up with Portugal, and maybe even with UK in not so distant future. So, short term gain, maybe, but long term doesn’t seem quite as encouraging.
Let’s abandon Farr’s law and switch our attention to another uncanny “benefit” of Covid-19 “vaccinations”, namely, bringing the epidemic to places that had none up to the very start of Covid-19 “vaccination” campaigns. The following examples are not exhaustive by any means, please let the author know if you have equally good or even better examples to put forward, and he will gladly add them to this article. Here are Uruguay, Seychelles, Cambodia, and Mongolia, as typical representatives of this unlucky lot:
It the upper row, you see charts of Covid-19 deaths, non-existent prior to “vaccination” drives charted in the row below. Don’t know about you, dear reader, but looking at these charts sends a shudder down my spine every single time.
One can add Antigua and Barbuda, Papua New Guinea, Laos, Vietnam, and many other countries to this list. What is remarkable is that all these countries were apparently totally unaffected by the “global pandemic”, up until the day Covid-19 “vaccination” campaigns have been launched in them, for no apparent reason. Then all hell broke loose in all of them, within a day of getting jabbed. If it was one such country, one could dismiss it as a coincidence, two-three – really unlucky series of unfortunate events. But many more? No way! It is an irrefutable evidence that the “vaccinations” with the Covid-19 “vaccines” actually cause these spikes in Covid-19 reported cases and deaths.
For the mechanics of how this is happening, read my previous post “Hiding in Plain Sight“.
And this is not all the magic bestowed on humanity by the “vaccine” manufacturers yet. The boosters are coming to your neck of the woods sooner rather than later. So what to expect from them, chart-wise? Let’s have a look at the countries that were “lucky” enough to be the trail blazers in this respect: Singapore, Israel, and UK:
We know that Israel commenced with boosters on Jul 31, 2021, Singapore and UK – on Sep. 17or so. Can you spot these dates on the charts above? What does this portend to the rest of us?
This last question is rhetorical. Rather, it should have been: what can we do about it? Judging by the examples of Seychelles, Cambodia, Laos, Vietnam, Mongolia, Uruguay et alia – not much, except: turn the other cheek, those still standing? Except, we are running out of cheeks, presto!
I will revisit these countries and more in the in-depth analysis in the upcoming post “Beware of Greeks Bearing Gifts.”
Nice work. Have you read Mathew Crawford's analysis? You might enjoy my substack as well stevekirsch.substack.com
“ - Israel was able to mount a robust “vaccination” campaign with Pfizer at around Dec. 20, 2021, the whole month before the Covid-19 wave peaked. ”
Precognition or typo? Your call.