$cience Fiction, UK ONS Edition
Either they don't realize what they are doing, or, more likely, they have no conscience and no shame left.
We all stand on the shoulders of giants, as it were. I am starting this analysis based on the great analysis of ONS stats from December 2021 by Joel Smalley, in four parts, “Cooking the books, ONS style“, and the May 28 post by Jeff Childers “Coffee & Covid“, where Jeff presents the chart of all-cause age-standardised mortality rates by vaccination status,
making an astute observation that, somehow, the unvaccinated ended up with the least overall mortality, notwithstanding the cold, dark winter of death that was supposed to have just befallen them. Jeff also provided a link to the original ONS dataset, available from the May 16th, 2022, at https://tinyurl.com/4jb6mnpz.
This has spiked my curiosity to dig a bit deeper. First of all, what would be the expected overall age-standardised mortality rate for the same population? We know that from the same ONS agency’s source, “Deaths in the UK from 1990 to 2020“, about 1,000 per 100,000 population in the most recent years:
We duly notice the 10% spike in the overall mortality in 2020. Covid, duh!
Armed with these inputs, we want to look, for a change, at the NON-COVID age-standardised mortality rates by vaccination status, England, Jan. 2021-Mar. 2022. And the sheer insanity of what the ONS presents to us with straight face is immediately on full display. Here’s the ONS source data for the chart below:
So, behold the following chart and ponder what I am pondering for a moment:
As we are talking strictly “non-Covid mortality rates“ here, a reasonable, albeit naive, lay person would expect the mortality rates of all “vaccination statuses” to be close to the historical value of 1,000/100k, like so,
wouldn’t it? Maybe randomly oscillating about 1,000 a bit, say +-100, now and then. I, for one, fully expect this to be the true reality on the ground, if we were so gullible as to accept that the magic Covid jabs bestow no ill effects whatsoever on their enthusiastic recipients. For the sake of argument. To say nothing about the unvaccinated, whose non-Covid mortality rate has no way in the universe to be affected either by the jabs or by Covid, right? Actually, and I concur with the suggestion from Joel Smalley himself in the comments below, “we might expect non-COVID mortality to drop in the unvaccinated, when COVID is being attributed, because not all COVID-mentioned death is excess.“ Right?! “Wrong!” - replies the ONS with straight face.
And now, let us understand the tricks the ONS shamelessly deploys, in our faces, to present the fake crazy Covid world that we are supposed to believe we live in at this juncture. When you see the word „immortality“ in the bullets below, it means the ONS-quoted mortality rates way under 1,000/100k:
Right off the bat, the mortality rate of the unvaccinated spikes to the stratospheric 3000/100k (3 times the historically expected value!) in Feb. 2021! While the 2nd dose jabbed become virtually immortal (244/100k for <21 days ago, and 143/100k for >21 days ago)! The 1st dose recipients, although still brandishing some immortality traits, are much closer to the expected mortality rate of 1,000/100k than the 2nd dose recipients.
Let’s look at around Apr.-Jun. 2021 now. The mortality rate of the unvaccinated starts trending down rapidly, although still remaining at an elevated level. But the poor 1st dose recipients >21 days ago are now reaping 6.5 times (sic!) the expected mortality rate, in just under half a year! The mortality of the 1st dose recipients in <21 days ago also roughly quadruples from Jan. 2021 to Apr. 2021, then subsides a little. The mortality of the recipients of 2nd dose <21 days ago more than septuples from 244/100k to 1,754/100k between Jan. 2021 and Jul. 2021! The “immortality” of the 2nd dose recipients >21 days to <6 months ago wears off considerably, from 143/100k in Jan. 2021 to 899 in Jul. 2021, the mortality rate increasing six-fold, but still retaining some measure of invincibility!
In Jul. 2021, we have the first alumni of the 2nd dose recipients graduating to past 6 months, with their measure of “immortality” at 532/100k mortality rate, bestowed upon them by fate on this solemn occasion, for their mortality rate only to octuple in the course of the following 5 months, by Oct. 2021, to 4,309/100k, then fall off to the still-elevated level. Apparently, their triumph was short-lived.
Not to fear, the smarter among them had an escape avenue left, provided to them by the ONS, to abandon their wretched situation and jump the ship to become the boosted <21 days ago, overnight restoring their immortality at the mortality rate of 223/100k in Sep. 2021! What a deal!
But that quickly went south as well, the mortality rate of boosted <21 days ago octupling in the next half a year to 1839/100k!
But what do you know! The boosted >21 days ago become the new immortals in Oct. 2021, at the mortality rate of 486/100k (on the crucial day 22 their morality rate still jumping overnight from 391/100k), staying “somewhat immortal” until the end of the dataset in Mar. 2022, at the mortality rate of 900/100k.
In the meantime, the unpretentious unvaccinated, doing nothing at all all this time, have returned to the expected mortality rate by Mar. 2022, at 992/100k,
while the 1st dose <21 days ago recipients called it quits in Jan. 2022 with the unenvious mortality rate of 2,684/100k. No more jab takers in England after a year of insanity is the only good news from the ONS at this point. Or maybe there is no one left to be freshly jabbed?
If you believe all this Mission-Impossible-style tempo of the plot progression,
I have a bridge to sell you, as Joel Smalley quips.
I don’t believe all of this for a moment, but what I most can’t believe is that the rest of 8 billion or so humans on this planet, or all of Brits for that matter, stoically accept this utter bull$!t with solemn expression on their faces. As if it all makes perfect sense.
And, paraphrasing Forrest Gump, that's all I have to say about the ONS.
Please also read the follow-up post dealing with the deaths by the number of weeks post “vaccination”, very peculiar patterns take place: