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Barry O'Kenyan's avatar

Their plans are working nicely. Alas.

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Jim's avatar

I'm not sure this can't be explained by seasonality. Although, even if it is seasonality, the vaccines obviously aren't working.

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Andreas Oehler's avatar

You mean „explained away“? Because it is too consistent of a pattern to be simply caused by seasonality. What about summer „waves“ of 2021? Other seasonality?

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Jim's avatar

I have no definitive hypothesis; just looking at possible explanations.

I doubt is applies to Belgium but summer waves of respiratory virus' are common in the US south which is why everywhere from FL <-> TX peaked at the end of Aug. At the time I predicted the decline in the south and an increase in the mid-west followed by the NE as their seasons kicked in. That prediction seems to be on track with MI recently having the highest rate in the country and cases now increasing in the NE.

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Andreas Oehler's avatar

Or maybe it has something to do with mass jabbing and 5-6 months post 2nd jab, where the jab is actually making the jabbed more susceptible? I am not arguing with you, Jim, just throwing more data into the ring. Sounds like a good subject for one of my future posts, thanks!

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Jim's avatar

Certainly possible, just like the PHE data would seem to suggest.

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