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Dec 6, 2021Liked by Andreas Oehler

The season for coronaviruses in the northern hemisphere is approximately mid January to mid April peaking in February and March.

Global Seasonality of Human Seasonal Coronaviruses: A Clue for Postpandemic Circulating Season of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2?

You Li,1 Xin Wang,1 and Harish Nair1,2

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7454715/

‘For human coronaviruses, 4 known seasonal coronaviruses (sCoVs) have long been circulating in human populations, including 2 alphacoronaviruses (NL63 and 229E) and 2 betacoronaviruses (OC43 and HKU1). Therefore, it is possible that once endemic, SARS-CoV-2, a betacoronavirus, will follow the same seasonal patterns as the sCoVs.’

‘In the temperate sites excluding China, 53.1% of the sCoV cases (interquartile range [IQR], 34.6%–61.9%) occurred during influenza season (defined by the top 3 months with highest AAP), and 49.6% of the sCoV cases (IQR, 30.2%–60.2%) occurred during RSV season. Less overlap was observed in the tropical sites as well as temperate sites in China between sCoV activity and influenza/RSV activity (20% during influenza season and 29% during RSV season; Supplementary Figure 3).

Meteorological Factors and Seasonality of sCoVs

A total of 17 studies with >100 positive sCoV cases were included in our model (including 2 sites from temperate China). Low temperature with higher relative humidity was found to be associated with higher proportion of sCoV cases; dew point was observed to have similar relationship with sCoV activity as temperature (Figure 6). Similar results were found from the model excluding 2 temperate sites from China (Supplementary Figure 4).’

‘In the present study, we described the month-by-month activity of sCoVs in 40 sites from 21 countries. We found that sCoVs occurred mainly in winter months in temperate sites except for China and was less seasonal in China and tropical sites. We highlighted a high proportion of co-circulating sCoV cases during influenza virus and RSV seasons, implicating the possibility of a substantial increase in the demand to healthcare system resources during wintertime.’

‘....the seasonality of different species of sCoVs in our study provides important baseline data for epidemiology and modeling studies in understanding the interaction between SARS-CoV-2 and sCoVs; a recent study supported the cross-reactive T-cell recognition between sCoVs and SARS-CoV-2 [14].’

‘One of the lessons learned from the history of influenza pandemics is its transition from pandemic to seasonal circulation and the replacement of existing strain(s) with the pandemic strain. Although it is not clear how the existing sCoVs initially emerged or whether they had previously replaced any viruses, understanding the global seasonality of sCoVs would undoubtedly offer some clues on the possible postpandemic circulating season of SARS-CoV-2 and contribute to the knowledge pool for the postpandemic preparedness for SARS-CoV-2.’

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7454715/

See figures.....

In Temperate climates the Alpha and Beta Seasonal Corona Viruses (sCoV’s) from various studies analyses within this study show that the sCoV’s generally appear December to end April peaking in February and March.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7454715/

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author

That was my understanding too. So, Oct. is way too early for a seasonal spike.

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Seasonality AND regionality.

Seasons mean nothing if they are located near the equator or the poles.

Take Queensland, NSW, Victoria. Qld has had hardly any cases; it had days of zip cases; whereas NSW has had more; and Victoria the most! NSW and Victoria vax rates are similar; Qld's are a bit lower.

Qld climate is "beautiful one day, perfect the next".

Now compare the "seasons" of Chanada and areas around there.

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Look at the countries in these graphs, kinda far even from the tropics.

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Exactly. If they are far from the tropics and poles, they have real seasons. If the variations between winter and summer is only a few degrees, then the seasons mean nothing in terms of temperature.

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Any statistically significant excess in All Cause mortalities in those regions during 2020 and 2021 to date?

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Not in Australia; not in Sweden; not in the UK; not in Germany; and I am sure not many other countries. Disclaimer: I am talking about pre-vax data .

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Excess mortality data are added 1-2 months late, then updated retrospectively, not a reliable indicator fir the current trends.

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The All Cause mortality data for 2020 (pre-covid injection) is reliable for sure! All Cause mortality rates globally for 2021 appear normal to date.

However that may change drastically in the first quarter of 2022 and onwards if reduced natural immunity levels and AIS and ADE become a major health issue post covid injections!

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"if reduced natural immunity levels and AIS and ADE become a major health issue post covid injections!" IF ? "They" are seeing major spikes in all-cause deaths for < 65 yo. Why do you think they have spun new lies?

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Dec 7, 2021Liked by Andreas Oehler

You’re right and yes I am aware of that. That’s why I said ‘....that may change ‘drastically’...’ What we’re seeing right now in terms of reported deaths post covid injections is likely to be just a frosty dusting on the tip of an iceberg compared to what may come. What happens if and when those who were administered the contents of the non saline covid vials completely lose 100% of their natural immunity and when they’re exposed to natural wild corona viruses in circulation in the northern hemisphere in the first quarter of 2022?

U.K. Health Security Agency data appears to be showing that currently the bulk of reported covid-19 deaths (approx 80%) are amongst the covid “vaccinated” and especially so amongst those aged 50 years and upwards and dramatically so after receiving the second covid dose/shot. So what the hell are the Covid Boosters going to do?

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I rely on some birds to do the analysis. They use the raw data and did their own calcs.

Anyway, any data are only approximates.

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